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<Research>G Sachs Expects Aluminum Prices to Find ST Support, but May Fall to US$2,350 in 4Q26
Goldman Sachs released a research report saying a delay in its bearish forecast for aluminum price, and expecting the London Metal Exchange (LME) aluminum price to decline from the...
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<Research>G Sachs Expects Aluminum Prices to Find ST Support, but May Fall to US$2,350 in 4Q26
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Goldman Sachs released a research report saying a delay in its bearish forecast for aluminum price, and expecting the London Metal Exchange (LME) aluminum price to decline from the current US$2,700 per ton to a low of US$2,350 in 4Q26, compared to the prior forecast low of US$2,100 for March 2026.

Although the anticipated slowdown in demand growth and cost reduction have gradually materialized, and the market has seen moderate surplus in 3Q25, lower visible inventories, Fed rate cuts and higher copper prices are expected to support aluminum prices by the end of this year. The broker predicted that aluminum prices will stabilize at the US$2,700 level in 4Q25.

While aluminum prices have short-term support, the forecast for market surplus is estimated to expand from 400,000 tons this year to 1.5-2 million tons in 2026 and 2027, leading to a belief that aluminum prices will fall, Goldman Sachs added.
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