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<Research>CLSA Forecasts XIAOMI-W 1Q Adj. NP to Hike 54%, Lifts Annual EV Delivery Forecast to 400K Units
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CLSA anticipated XIAOMI-W (01810.HK) 1Q25 results to be strong, with revenue expected to rise 44.6% YoY to RMB109 billion, and adjusted net profit projected to mount 54% YoY to RMB10 billion.

Xiaomi's sales in China for smartphones, IoT, and electric vehicles (EVs) are all faring strongly, thanks to trade-in subsidies and market share growth. The gross margin was estimated to tick up QoQ, and losses in the EV business may further narrow to RMB650 million.

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Xiaomi delivered 76,000 EVs in 1Q25 and raised its forecast for Xiaomi's EV deliveries for 2025 to 400,000 units. It also increased its adjusted net profit forecast for Xiaomi by 8% and 4% for 2025 and 2026, respectively.

The rating of High Conviction Outperform was maintained, with a target price of HKD69.
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